Basball: CAA Weekend "What to Watch"

So with just one more CAA series left to play after this weekend we need to look around the league at what needs to happen for us to make the tournament.

Current standings for teams still in contention:
Old Dominion, 16-8 (Tiebreaker over JMU, Towson, GSU, Delaware)
James Madison, 15-9 (Tiebreaker over UNCW, W&M)
UNC Wilmington, 15-9 (Tiebreaker over GSU, Delaware, W&M)
Towson, 14-10 (Tiebreaker over UNCW, Delaware)
Georgia State, 14-11 (Tiebreaker over JMU, Towson)
Delaware, 15-12 (Tiebreaker over JMU, GSU)
William & Mary, 13-12 (Tiebreaker over ODU, Delaware)

This weekend's series that matter to us:

First let me say that I'm going to assume ODU, JMU and UNCW all remain in the top 3. Whichever order doesn't matter, not important right now. For this conversation we're going to look at what needs to happen for us to move ahead Towson and remain ahead of Delaware to get into the 4th position.

Delaware @ Northeastern - I like Northeastern to get a win in this series because of their great pitching. Delaware holds the tiebreaker over us so we cannot tie with them. They currently have one more loss than us so basically we have to remain at the same or less losses than they do to finish the season. This is their final CAA series so we'll know where they stand Sunday night but I think they'll finish at 17-13 meaning we can only lose 1 more. Let's hope Northeastern can pull off two wins to give us some breathing room.

Towson @ James Madison - Towson is hot right now, they are 7-2 in their last 9 CAA games. Towson has one loss less than us right now and we own the tiebreaker over them. At worst, we need to have one less loss than them to finish the season. We have 2 left against W&M and 3 against George Mason (the cellar dweller of the CAA), Towson has 3 against James Madison and 3 against W&M. I like our chances to finish with less losses than them. I think they'll go 3-3 which means we can afford two losses and remain ahead of Towson. However, if Delaware only loses 1, staying ahead of Towson at 2 losses means no tournament.

The tournament standings should be much more clear after this weekend so we'll look at it again on Monday. Enjoy the weekend.