Monday, May 16, 2011

Update on Magic Number Heading into Final Weekend

2

The magic number is down to 2 folks! The Panthers baseball team can clinch a tournament spot by Friday. We play George Mason on Thursday, if we win it goes down to 1. Assuming the win on Thursday the loser of the Towson vs. William & Mary game is eliminated. It will take a second win by Georgia State to eliminate Delaware as well as Towson/W&M (whoever wasn't eliminated Thursday). Since Delaware's season is complete we cannot reduce the magic number by a Delaware loss. So all that to say this means we need to win 2-of-3 at home this weekend. The numbers are this way because of the head-to-head tiebreakers. We win it against Towson and William & Mary but lose it to Delaware. We can finish with the same record as Towson/W&M and receive the higher placement but not so with Delaware.

In order for us to leap UNC-Wilmington for 3rd, they'd need to lose 2-of-3 at home against VCU and we need to sweep George Mason. Moving into 2nd would take James Madison being swept at Northeastern and us sweeping George Mason.

The tournament is a 4-team double elimination setup. I think the first round looks like this:

#4 Georgia State @ #1 Old Dominion
#3 UNC-Wilmington @ #2 James Madison

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