Saturday, May 14, 2011

GSU Baseball's "Magic Number" for the Tournament


(No, I haven't lost my mind...but I have you curious right? Read on...)

So it's close enough to season end to throw out the good 'ol magic numbers just for fun. As of right now, Saturday night on May 14th, Georgia State holds the last tournament spot.

First off, winning 1st place is no longer possible. Even if we win out and Old Dominion losses their remaining four games, we lose the head-to-head tiebreaker. Oh well, doesn't matter if you were 1st seed or 4th seed once you hoist the CAA Championship trophy.

In case you don't know what the "magic number" is, it's the number of wins by your team and losses by the team below you is necessary to clinch the stated spot. Since we're just concerned about keeping the 4th tournament position, the first three magic numbers are for that.

To win 4th over Towson - 3 (We need the number of GSU wins and Towson losses to equal 3)
To win 4th over Delaware - 2
To win 4th over William & Mary - 2

Winning 3rd place is still possible. The magic number for that is 5. In addition, 2nd place is still a possibility and to win 2nd over James Madison the magic number is 6.

So, what should you take from this? If we're just concerned about keeping the 4th spot we need to focus on Towson and again, the magic number of 3. (Now you see why the Ghostbuster 3 picture makes sense) We win all three games against George Mason next weekend and we're in. We win two games and Towson losses just one, we're in. By the way, Towson has four remaining CAA games. Tomorrow against James Madison (JMU going for the sweep) and three against William & Mary.

I feel good about the boys returning to Brooks Field at UNC-Wilmington to participate in the 2011 CAA Championship.

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